Havent' posted much on BlackJack for obvious reasons. Casinos were closed and when they opened I sat it out for a while. Having returned, I have found conditions favorable. EV has gone up because less people can play at once. Yesterday I managed to snag a table to myself.
Wanted to post a graph showing the swings of the game. This is pretty typical of what I see when playing.
The x-axis is time from session start. As you see I had a two-hour session most of it consisted of being in the red. I had a particular goal in mind and a time limit. Knowing the swings when the goal was met, I got up which fortunately was near the end of the shoe, meaning I did not have to waste a positive count.
The reason I know the times is because I exit the game at any -1 count. That's when I record where I stand. So each increment shows me sitting out. You see that -1 counts happen quite frequently in the space of an hour (we had two 10 minutes apart, including the time waiting for a shuffle.
The takeaways from this post is that yes, there will be losing. In my prior experience, I was coming way underfunded for the expected dips. This can really negatively impact your game as you may never be able to recover to preserve your bankroll. So come prepared.
Secondly, if you are playing a positive expectation game you still need to learn to deal with losing and the higher your stakes the lower those dips will be. Do not panic and manage your stress and keep playing by the math.
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