Friday, November 13, 2015
Trump Is Wrong On Carson's "Anger"
So Trump is on the campaign trail trying his best to take down Carson who has passed him in the polls. Rather than stick to the issue that put him out front from the beginning, he has decided to play psychologist and tell us how people with anger issues never get over it. Trump is wrong and I'm going to tell you why.
When I was a kid, I had a hair trigger, nasty temper. I understand this may have been inherited from my late grandfather on my mother's side. I can't say for sure, but I had it. I got into a lot of fights in elementary school and spent a lot of alone time trying avoid other "angry moments". If I could turn green and grow a few feet, I would have. At times I had to be physically restrained from beating the shit out of other students. I was fortunate to have been attending a school at a time where zero tolerance rules were not in effect and an administration that did not assume that because I was angry that I was stupid. I had, like many black boys, impulse control issues. In the 6th grade that came to a end when something in my brain "clicked" and I stopped with the hair trigger part of my temper and became "slow burning fuse" temper.
Slow burning fuse temper has it's own drawbacks. Instead of releasing the beast on the spot, one tends to internalize incidents until one explodes. In essence you keep a mental ledger of every incident a person does to you and then on the last incident, which may or may not be anything large, they hit the magic number of incidents and then it's on!
In my case, when a person on the block who I had a conflict with decided to throw his bike pump at me, he hit his "it's on" moment and I experienced, for the first time in my life, killing rage. Those who have experienced killing rage know the feeling. The best I can explain it is that you want your target dead and there is nothing else in consideration. So I went into my house and picked up a solid aluminum bar and proceeded to return to the scene and bludgeon this person to death.
So why am I not in jail or just getting out on a 25 to life bid? Because the day I would have become a murderer a man was painting the house and saw me rush by ranting on how I was going to kill someone and then he saw me re-emerge with the aluminum bar and he knew I saw serious and stopped me from making a huge mistake. Like Carson, an intervention of fate kept me from doing something very, very bad. Unlike Carson I didn't attribute this to divine intervention or took it as a reason to dedicate my life to God. What it did do is make me very aware of killing rage and that I never wanted to experience that again. You see, unlike what Trump thinks, those of us who have experience killing rage can and most often do get that under control. Does that mean that we cannot get there again? No! It does mean that because we know what it feels like when we are headed in that direction that we know to "get off the road" before we get to killing rage.
Some people get that control from religion. Some get it through athletic endeavors. Some do meditation. But one thing we all have in common is that we know to remove ourselves from situations and people before we get to the point where we want to kill. In fact I would say that those of us who met our inner killer are far better prepared than those who have not. Why? Because we are no longer in denial about the human capacity to kill. You won't catch us saying things like "I would never kill..." because we know that everybody has a breaking point. Everybody. We happened to have found ours and we don't want to revisit that.
So although I have my issues with Carson, the fact that he tried to gut a kid when he was a youth is not one of them. As for Trump, it's looks desperate, really to be going on and on about this particular issue. There are plenty of policy issues that Trump can take Carson to task for and he should spend his time on those.
Wednesday, October 28, 2015
"Emergency Situations"
From a Road and Track article on a Nissan concept vehicle:
, but it's what it does when you put it in Piloted Drive that's amazing. The steering wheel retracts into the instrument panel and is replaced by a big flat screen . . . like something out of Transformers, just without the guns... But what if you need the steering wheel in an emergency situation? Maybe I've seen too many movies, but I'm quite certain that there will be at least one situation on the road you encounter that requires some kind of snap-decision making.I think it hasn't yet dawned on the author that the almost point of these vehicles is that humans are "bad" at emergency situations and therefore will be replaced by the AI. In other words, the human IS the problem to be solved. This is why Google's car has nothing for the "driver". Everyone in Google's car is a passenger. The future as the industry (both the auto and insurance) is no human driver on public roads. EVER. The automakers and/or tech companies will make the technology available and the insurance companies will bankrupt any but the richest owner who wants to actually drive. That is if the government doesn't pronounce human driving a public health hazard and has it banned first.
Friday, October 23, 2015
Some Ideas About Automated Vehicle Development
What follows are the thoughts of a very much NOT ENGINEER. Just someone curious about it. Personally, I want to drive myself and change my own gears...with a clutch thank you very much.
So having watched the latest video of Tesla's auto-pilot make a dive for the opposite side of the road when it got confused I thought about how engineers are approaching automated driving. What follows is purely speculative as I have no idea what the engineers are actually doing.
The first thing I thought was that the focus that I see is on safety. It seems to me that automated driving, outside of DARPA, is overly concerned with safety. I was watching a test drive of the GLE AMG and the driver was complaining about how the safety equipment was interfering with the track testing. It killed the throttle, tightened the seat belts, etc. The car was being overly cautious because it assumed that the driver was not in control. I think that is a problem. The focus for automated systems should be to emulate an experienced driver. I know we like to ding humans for their multiplicity of accidents but the fact is that humans travel millions of miles without nary an incident. We take in and process, in real time vast amounts of information and do a lot of predictive analysis when we drive. For all our accidents we do a fucking great job….the vast majority of the time.
Lets make automated systems act like humans. First off, lets lower “safety” down a few notches in priorities. The human driver makes a bunch of assumptions when driving. We assume that everyone else on the road will act in a manner that will ensure their own safety. We humans look for a reason to NOT think this is the case. It seems to me that automated systems assume everything is a danger until it is no longer in range. Here's an example. You are driving towards an intersection and a vehicle is approaching it at a particularly high rate of speed but IS slowing down. Most humans would note this behavior but would NOT brake or take any actions to stop or swerve. 99% of the time this is the correct response. We are AWARE of the other car but we do not REACT to the other car. We also calculate, almost instantaneously whether we have enough speed to either cross the intersection before they would hit us or we have enough braking distance to stop if they entered the intersection. We also are aware of how much room we have to maneuver.
We also note that the other vehicle has a threshold to cross, the stop sign. Most of us wouldn't react unless we determined that the other vehicle was carrying to much speed/momentum to stop at the stop sign or the vehicle crossed the imaginary “stop line” demarcated by the stop sign. Automated vehicles need to be able to recognize stop signs from any angle so that it could make such judgment calls and react appropriately.
Following an “unmarked” Road
The two things I saw that bothered me the most was when on curved roads the Tesla simply went off road. The reason for this is that the car needs to “see” white lines to know how to position itself while moving. Who thought that was a good idea? Anyone who has road tripped knows that there are plenty of roads that have very poor or no lane markings. Lets not even begin to talk about snow. So I think the engineers are approaching the positioning question alllll wrong. Again, how do humans know how to position themselves. White lines are taken as cues to the shape of the road but we process more than that. Most of us cue heavily off of the vehicle in front of us. Automated systems should be built to prioritize the vehicle ahead as the cue for vehicle position just as humans do. These cues become even more important in situations like snow and heavy rain where the road is practically invisible.
Secondly the vehicle should do as humans do and establish road boundaries by analyzing the larger environment. Automated vehicles need to be able to know the “hard left” of the road. The “hard left” is the do not cross threshold for any car. It should not cross to the other side of the road unless it is the only option to not crash. Barriers, grass, double lines and oncoming vehicles should be used to determine the “hard right” of any road. In the absence of this an automated vehicle should be able to measure the width of the road, divide it in half and keep the car to the right of the mid point as a minimum requirement. This is what humans do when there are no markings.
Road Arches
There are two scenarios for curved roads. One has a vehicle ahead and one has no vehicle. Lets take the first. If there is a vehicle on a curved road the car should make one assumption..all curved roads are smooth curves. That is there are no corners. With this assumption in place the car should note that the vehicle in front of it is HIGHLY likely to not make an abrupt 90 degree turn. That is the vehicle ahead is following the curve. The automated vehicle should prioritize following the vehicle ahead over road markings because it is MOST likely that the vehicle is following the road. Using this assumption the vehicle should use the “best fit” model for what the road ahead looks like until it can actually “see” the road. Humans do this all the time on “blind curves”. Even though we know the curves on roads we drive daily and have stored it in our biological GPS, whenever we encounter a novel road this is what we do. We assume the curve will be smooth. We assume the car in front of us is following the curve and that we should mimic its actions and we predict what the road ahead looks like until we can see it.
This kind of driving works 99.9% of the time and that's a great rate!
Now with curved roads that have no other vehicle in front of us means that we cannot use the “mimic that” algorithm. Instead we fall back to road analysis. The vehicle should determine the hard right (and probably “hard left”) and place the car dead center of it's side of the road. In cases where the road is barely wider than the vehicle (relative to a wide two way road), the car would put itself dead center.
This idea of “hard right” and “hard left” cannot be stressed enough. The reliance on road markers is IMO a dangerous assumption. Perhaps engineers can start with the assumption that there are no markers on the road. There is only road and “not road”. Once you can get the automated system to determine the difference between the two, without lines, then a lined road is that much easier to handle. I realize this may be counter to the idea that we tackle the easiest problem first, but I think that by tackling the hard problem first (which is really a matter of dealing with perception) we can have automated systems that won't fail..and not try to cross the divider.
Monday, August 3, 2015
HitchBOT Killed in Philly.
For those who haven't followed, A "robot" was hitching a ride across the US and met its demise in Philly. The stated purpose of the experiment was to see if robots could trust humans. I would say that it was actually a social experiment on high and low trust societies.
The HitchBOT made its way clear across Canada without incident. Hitchbot went through parts of Europe unmolested. Hitchbot was stuck in Boston for weeks and somehow made it to Philly where it was dismembered. A glance at city data for Philly says a lot. In 2013 thefts represented 53 percent of all crime meaning that HitchBOT had a roughly 50-50 chance of making it through that city. If you added robberies and burglaries to the theft as representing taking stuff that doesn't belong to you, then the odds of HitchBOT meeting an untimely end in Philly skyrockets to 79%.
Perhaps the real lesson is that you don't leave valuable items in relatively high theft incident cities.
Thursday, May 21, 2015
A Failure Of Leadership
Robert Gates, the head of the Boy Scouts of America said this during his speech calling for the Boy Scouts to allow Homosexual male leaders:
"We must deal with the world as it is, not as we might wish it to be,” Gates saidIt was the unwillingness to "deal with the world as it is" that got us things like The Golden Gate bridge Every advance in science, medicine, architecture was made because someone decided to NOT deal with the world as it "is" and rather to make it as they want it to be. Currently ISIS is having a field day in the Middle East because they do not accept the world "as it is". Not that I support ISIS, but at least they understand that the future belongs to those willing to shape it. What Gates is saying about his organization is that it is beholden to the whims and wishes of those largely outside it's organization rather than those who are in the organization. The same can be said for the nation.
Saturday, April 25, 2015
Rewatching Elysium
So I was rewatching Elysium last night. As someone acutely aware of the implications of automation, watching Elysium is pretty hard on the suspension of belief mental state that one needs to be in to take such a movie in. Some of the major problems with Elysium:
1) The driods are apparently good enough to act as police and on screen were very elegant in their movements. Since that is the case why are humans building these robots? Any robotic technology good enough to be that elegant is good enough to put a robot together without human intervention. Yes, I know that the accident needs to happen to move the plot forward but still, it may have been more interesting to see the struggling to make ends meet character try to make those ends meet while competing with robots rather than just being policed by them. This is a problem that Total Recall had as well, though there appeared to be far less automation in that particular future.
2) Speaking of accidents. What the hell was that? Again, I understand that the plot needed to be moved forward but a door that cannot be opened? Seriously? In this high tech future no designer decided on a button that re-opens a door if it is blocked? I mean c'mon now. Sunroofs, power windows and garage door openers have had this feature for decades now. They don't have this for factory equipment? Ok. You COULD assume that the business was so into being profitable that they ordered the model without the open-door-if-blocked feature. BUt if they really wanted to be profitable there would be NO HUMANS working there anyway!
Lastly how are the rich people inhabiting Elysium making money? As the US will soon find out, if you decimate the spending class (that's middle class to you) then you have no one who can buy your goods and services. No one buys your goods and services means there's no money to be made. The entire economic model (since we saw no "middle class" earthbound people) of Elysium is built on quicksand, the entire movie makes no sense.
On a side note, I'm compelled to discuss the parallels between the recent news that the Chinese have gotten into genetically engineering embryos. One of the comments I've read about it is the difference in ethics between The West and the Chinese. Generally speaking the Chinese will do it if it can be done while The West, with it's history of slavery, Final Solutions and the like, have ethical qualms with doing these things. This brings us to the new RoboCop movie in which all the work done on RoboCop was done in what is clearly China. RoboCop is heavy on ethics and is watchable for that alone.
Monday, March 30, 2015
KIlling Cancer
Very interesting report from 60 Minutes on killing cancer with the Polio virus.
One of the important things here is that not only was this "cure" taken from treating brain cancer but that it also was tested on breast and prostate cancer among others with good results.
This underscores my main objection to "Titty Cancer Inc." in which the public has been made to think that breast cancer is the most important form of cancer ever and that defeating it is the best thing ever. I have long argued that cancer is cancer is cancer and that the focus on one type is probably bad. Of course 60 Minutes also did a report on "Disrupting Cancer"
Dr. Patrick Soon-Shiong notably said:
Patrick Soon-Shiong: A cancer is not what people think, cells growing. Cancer is actually the inability of the cells to die. The key is figuring out the genetic mutation or glitch that prevents cells from dying a natural death. Soon-Shiong's hope is to provide patients with the precise genetic mutations that fuel their cancer regardless of where tumors are found in the body. Patrick Soon-Shiong: The mutation that happens in lung cancer could be the exact same mutation that happens in the breast cancer. So you need to treat that patient based on its mutation not on its physical, anatomical location.Interesting thing about the Polio experiment is that in a sense it goes to what Dr. Soon-Shiong says. The body kills the cells like it should.
Sanjay Gupta: That's a big idea. I mean, you know, the idea that the breast cancer specialist, they're looking for breast cancer mutations and they may be missing the ball. Patrick Soon-Shiong: Absolutely.Absolutely.
Saturday, March 28, 2015
On The Jeremy Clarkson Dismissal
The BBC completely cocked up its handling of Jeremy Clarkson. It likely did so because it wanted to appeal to person who are not interested in Top Gear (Lefties). Yes it was likely that because when you read the criticisms of Jeremy Clarkson in much of the press they come down to:
He's white
He's apparently conservative
He's un PC
He insults people
He's boorish
Top Gear is a "boys club"
Essentially Clarkson represented everything that left wing UK (and US for that matter) stands for. Apparently because I'm black I was supposed to be on board because of Clarkson's "catch a nigger by the toe" thing. Sorry, I don't offend easily. And I really don't offend easily when the person I'm supposed to be offended by insults just about everybody and THAT is a part of his "act". Personally I'm more offended by the perpetually offended who think that I, and the mass majority of black folks are too childish and thin skinned to hear that without falling to pieces or imagining Klan rallies and lynchings. That said I do have to agree that Clarkson overstepped a major bound when he struck that producer. I am 100% against initiating violence. I am 100% for self defense, just so we're clear. The way I see it BBC should have suspended Clarkson and fined him in the form of oh, half his contract payout (preferably given to Clarkson's victim as recompense since it happened during BBC official business). Then the victim ought to have been given one opportunity to press charges. ONE time. Failure to do so would have ended the issue there and then. Had the producer decided to press charges, the BBC should have cooperated with any investigation and if any criminal conviction was secured they could have used that as grounds for dismissal OR to add that time to his suspension. The thing is that when working for celebrities we KNOW that not a few of them have very very difficult personalities. Personally I think the producer should have knocked Clarkson right in the face one Clarkson assaulted him. It would have been quite funny to see an episode of Top Gear with Clarkson with a black eye. But now BBC has lost a couple million viewers for whatever time slot Top Gear fell on. For BBC America, Top Gear was popular enough to run for HOURS and made up a large portion of it's programming (Star Trek The Next Generation, Dr. Who. Orphan Black being the others). I expect a definite impact on their bottom line. Maybe they don't care. That's there prerogative. And on that bombshell...
He's apparently conservative
He's un PC
He insults people
He's boorish
Top Gear is a "boys club"
Essentially Clarkson represented everything that left wing UK (and US for that matter) stands for. Apparently because I'm black I was supposed to be on board because of Clarkson's "catch a nigger by the toe" thing. Sorry, I don't offend easily. And I really don't offend easily when the person I'm supposed to be offended by insults just about everybody and THAT is a part of his "act". Personally I'm more offended by the perpetually offended who think that I, and the mass majority of black folks are too childish and thin skinned to hear that without falling to pieces or imagining Klan rallies and lynchings. That said I do have to agree that Clarkson overstepped a major bound when he struck that producer. I am 100% against initiating violence. I am 100% for self defense, just so we're clear. The way I see it BBC should have suspended Clarkson and fined him in the form of oh, half his contract payout (preferably given to Clarkson's victim as recompense since it happened during BBC official business). Then the victim ought to have been given one opportunity to press charges. ONE time. Failure to do so would have ended the issue there and then. Had the producer decided to press charges, the BBC should have cooperated with any investigation and if any criminal conviction was secured they could have used that as grounds for dismissal OR to add that time to his suspension. The thing is that when working for celebrities we KNOW that not a few of them have very very difficult personalities. Personally I think the producer should have knocked Clarkson right in the face one Clarkson assaulted him. It would have been quite funny to see an episode of Top Gear with Clarkson with a black eye. But now BBC has lost a couple million viewers for whatever time slot Top Gear fell on. For BBC America, Top Gear was popular enough to run for HOURS and made up a large portion of it's programming (Star Trek The Next Generation, Dr. Who. Orphan Black being the others). I expect a definite impact on their bottom line. Maybe they don't care. That's there prerogative. And on that bombshell...
Thursday, March 26, 2015
No Water For Men
So I'm watching the Esquire channel. Watching the Six Million Dollar Man, when a commercial for Stella Artois Chalice for their latest initiative
Buy A Lady A Drink.
I'm watching a channel named after a men's magazine and I presented with a commercial to help me get water for women in some developing country. What. The. Entire. Fuck?
I'm not opposed to supplying water to people. Men, women, boys and girls. But I'll be damned if I give to ANY program that specifically excludes men and I think any man who DOES give to such a blatantly sexist program is a self hating dick.
And water.org?
Safe water transforms lives. For more than twenty years, Water.org has pioneered safe water and sanitation solutions that give women hope, children health and communities a future. Join us.Because men don't need safe and sanitary water. Fuck you. I cannot imagine a "lets get water to disadvantaged people" program that explicitly said they were giving it for men, that wouldn't be immediately (and rightly) taken apart for it's sexism. But there is no misandry. Doesn't exist.
Thursday, February 19, 2015
Some Thoughts On The Forthcoming Apple Watch
I am generally an Apple fan. I'm not a consumerist so I'm not exactly their ideal customer (I write this on the last model of the BlackBook. you'll figure it out). I have a first generation iPad because, well it does what I want it to do. I have an old 32GB iPod touch because it does what I want it to do. I also own a relatively large collection of watches.
I like watches. I live analog watches the most. Mind you I'm not a technophobe, I loved Fossil's Wrist PDA product and probably put a few years on my eyes while it worked. I also have a Nike+ Gps watch because I run, not jog, run and I have other GPS items that I can record my bike rides, though unfortunately it doesn't sync with Nike+. The point being is that the idea of the Apple Watch appeals to me, but I'm not sure if I'll buy one...or at least do more than buy one and wear it every now and then until it collects dust.
I say this because the reason I like my watches is because they are all different. Different straps. Different shapes. Different features. It is not merely the same watch with different interchangeable faces. Furthermore; when they were bought they were bought with the clear understanding that they would never do anything more than what they do and I rarely have to replace a battery (for those that are not self-winding).
Problem is that the Apple watch for me, would be a very expensive "look at me" piece that got worn very few times. Even at it's cheapest, $350 so I'm told, that would be a very expensive "look at me" piece. Perhaps that just means I'm not the customer that Apple is looking for. I also wonder if the current generation, having not had a need for a wristwatch since they have phones on them at all times, will warm to this past the initial "ohh this is nice" phase.
One way to kind of gauge this would be to see how well the Pebble watch is doing as well as looking at how popular the short lived iPod Shuffle that people converted into a watch was because anyone paying attention knows full well that the upcoming iWatch IS that iPod Shuffle idea with a far better design and OS.
One thing from my Wrist PDA days though: Battery life. It was quite annoying to discover that my watch was dead because I had forgotten to charge it overnight. Or it was dead because some process on the watch went wild and ate the battery. Or that it died simply from sheer use. It charged via USB so I took to plugging it up any time I wasn't traveling. I'm not sure how the masses of people will take to having to do the same (particularly if they are using the health tracking monitors that require contact with the body).
We shall see soon. I hope if goes well for Apple in the long term. I figure most people aren't packing a dozen or more watches in their homes, so one good watch is all they will want. If that's the case, and they're willing to pony up. Apple could very well have a hit on it's hands.
Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Makes No Sense...
From the NY Times in regards to Dominique Strauss-Kahn:
Not least in France, where sex with prostitutes is not illegal, but soliciting and pimping are, the case has generated questions about whether the laws against prostitution need updating. Some argue that the country should adopt Sweden’s practice of prosecuting the clients of prostitution rather than the prostitutes themselves, some of whom can be victims of abuse, coercion or trafficking.If one needs a prime example of misandry this would be it. If it is OK to have sex with a prostitute, that is, if it is OK to conduct the actual business, how is it that soliciting is illegal? Imagine that you were told that buying alcohol was legal but you couldn't go to the store and ask for the bottle on the shelf. What these kinds of laws actually represent is a irrational criminalization of [heterosexual] male behavior. What kind of people pass these kinds of laws? If the product or service is legal, then it's solicitation is legal. You cannot have business of ANY kind without solicitation. It is high time to remove the emotionally imbalanced and those susceptible to their pleadings out of government and away from the levers of legislation.
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